TenkiMan's TC blog

Thursday, November 30, 2023

Why Model Track Forecasts do NOT Depend on Initial Intensity

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The Question Konno-san asked the following  in his 6 June 2023 post to lists.tstorms.org: How can ECMWF be the best in the world at forecast...
Sunday, May 14, 2023

big winds in the models

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01B.2023 MOCHA I just noticed the super Rapid Intensification (RI) of the first storm in the IO -- 01B.2023. NB: I add the year of the seaso...
Wednesday, August 12, 2020

A Tropical Cyclone Forecast Metric for Operations and Model Development

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prospectus for a WAF paper  why metrics matter: "you're only as good as what you measure" .gov & .mil set standards for op...
Thursday, January 30, 2020

CMC > NCEP 20200130 Update

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CMC pulls ahead of the GFS? We're #4? Update on 20200130: CMC better in Summer Hemisphere? Mike Fiorino 30 January 2020 Recap...
Monday, November 25, 2019

CMC > NCEP?

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CMC pulls ahead of the GFS? We're #4? CMC Anomaly Correlation solidly #3 since August 2019...Waz Up Canada? Eh? Mike Fiorino 2019...
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TenkiMan Mike
tenki-man is a play on the Japanese word for weather...Mike is a "weatherman" More specifically, I'm a weather modeler specializing in Tropical Cyclone (TC) forecasting and analysis.
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